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Broad synthesis / Guideline / Systematic review

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DESCRIPTION: The American College of Physicians (ACP) and the American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) jointly developed this guideline to present the evidence and provide clinical recommendations based on the benefits and harms of higher versus lower blood pressure targets for the treatment of hypertension in adults aged 60 years or older. METHODS: This guideline is based on a systematic review of published randomized, controlled trials for primary outcomes and observational studies for harms only (identified through EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, MEDLINE, and ClinicalTrials.gov), from database inception through January 2015. The MEDLINE search was updated through September 2016. Evaluated outcomes included all-cause mortality, morbidity and mortality related to stroke, major cardiac events (fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death), and harms. This guideline grades the evidence and recommendations using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) method. TARGET AUDIENCE AND PATIENT POPULATION: The target audience for this guideline includes all clinicians, and the target patient population includes all adults aged 60 years or older with hypertension. RECOMMENDATION 1: ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians initiate treatment in adults aged 60 years or older with systolic blood pressure persistently at or above 150 mm Hg to achieve a target systolic blood pressure of less than 150 mm Hg to reduce the risk for mortality, stroke, and cardiac events. (Grade: strong recommendation, high-quality evidence). ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians select the treatment goals for adults aged 60 years or older based on a periodic discussion of the benefits and harms of specific blood pressure targets with the patient. RECOMMENDATION 2: ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians consider initiating or intensifying pharmacologic treatment in adults aged 60 years or older with a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack to achieve a target systolic blood pressure of less than 140 mm Hg to reduce the risk for recurrent stroke. (Grade: weak recommendation, moderate-quality evidence). ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians select the treatment goals for adults aged 60 years or older based on a periodic discussion of the benefits and harms of specific blood pressure targets with the patient. RECOMMENDATION 3: ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians consider initiating or intensifying pharmacologic treatment in some adults aged 60 years or older at high cardiovascular risk, based on individualized assessment, to achieve a target systolic blood pressure of less than 140 mm Hg to reduce the risk for stroke or cardiac events. (Grade: weak recommendation, low-quality evidence). ACP and AAFP recommend that clinicians select the treatment goals for adults aged 60 years or older based on a periodic discussion of the benefits and harms of specific blood pressure targets with the patient.

Broad synthesis

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Journal ANZ journal of surgery
Year 2017
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BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is a common and often fatal malignancy. Currently, the modifications that alter disease outcome include early symptom recognition, population screening as well as improved surgical and adjuvant treatments. Preventative strategies have been limited with little evidence that lifestyle changes significantly alter risk. There is however a growing awareness of a potential role for chemoprevention in some patient groups. This study aimed to review the literature associated with chemoprevention in colorectal cancer. METHODS: An electronic literature search of MEDLINE and Embase databases was performed on PubMed for studies detailing the use of chemoprevention agents in colon and rectal cancer. The search was limited to clinical trials on adult humans (>16 years of age) published in English since 1990. RESULTS: The strongest evidence is for non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs slowing polyp progression, notably Sulindac and aspirin in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis and hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer, respectively. There is also increasing evidence that continuing use of low-dose aspirin reduces long-term incidence of colorectal cancers. Cyclooxygenase 2 inhibitors also have a potential role but cardiac toxicity currently limits their use. Folic acid, statins, antioxidants, calcium and 5-aminosalicylic acid lack evidence to support their use at present. CONCLUSIONS: Currently, there is not enough evidence to support the implementation of a chemopreventative agent for general use. However, there appears to be a role for aspirin in selected subgroups.

Broad synthesis / Guideline

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Journal Chest
Year 2016
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BACKGROUND: We update recommendations on 12 topics that were in the 9th edition of these guidelines, and address 3 new topics. METHODS: We generate strong (Grade 1) and weak (Grade 2) recommendations based on high- (Grade A), moderate- (Grade B), and low- (Grade C) quality evidence. RESULTS: For VTE and no cancer, as long-term anticoagulant therapy, we suggest dabigatran (Grade 2B), rivaroxaban (Grade 2B), apixaban (Grade 2B), or edoxaban (Grade 2B) over vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy, and suggest VKA therapy over low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH; Grade 2C). For VTE and cancer, we suggest LMWH over VKA (Grade 2B), dabigatran (Grade 2C), rivaroxaban (Grade 2C), apixaban (Grade 2C), or edoxaban (Grade 2C). We have not changed recommendations for who should stop anticoagulation at 3 months or receive extended therapy. For VTE treated with anticoagulants, we recommend against an inferior vena cava filter (Grade 1B). For DVT, we suggest not using compression stockings routinely to prevent PTS (Grade 2B). For subsegmental pulmonary embolism and no proximal DVT, we suggest clinical surveillance over anticoagulation with a low risk of recurrent VTE (Grade 2C), and anticoagulation over clinical surveillance with a high risk (Grade 2C). We suggest thrombolytic therapy for pulmonary embolism with hypotension (Grade 2B), and systemic therapy over catheter-directed thrombolysis (Grade 2C). For recurrent VTE on a non-LMWH anticoagulant, we suggest LMWH (Grade 2C); for recurrent VTE on LMWH, we suggest increasing the LMWH dose (Grade 2C). CONCLUSIONS: Of 54 recommendations included in the 30 statements, 20 were strong and none was based on high-quality evidence, highlighting the need for further research.

Broad synthesis / Living FRISBEE

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Auteurs Valenzuela A , Aizman A
Journal Medwave
Year 2015
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Idiopathic thromboembolic disease presents a high risk of recurrence. There is controversy about the effects of aspirin in reducing this risk after the completion of anticoagulant treatment. Searching in Epistemonikos database, which screens 30 databases, we identified four systematic reviews that together include two randomized trials. We combined the evidence using meta-analysis and generated a summary of findings table following the GRADE approach. We concluded that aspirin administered after having completed anticoagulation reduces the risk of recurrence, probably without importantly increasing the risk of hemorrhage.

Broad synthesis

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Livre U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Evidence Syntheses, formerly Systematic Evidence Reviews
Year 2015
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BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most commonly diagnosed cancer in both men and women in the United States (U.S.). Aspirin may inhibit CRC development and related mortality. PURPOSE: We conducted this systematic evidence review on aspirin use for the prevention of CRC to support the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) in updating its previous recommendation. Our review addressed four key questions in adults without a history of CRC, familial adenomatous polyposis, or Lynch Syndrome: 1) Does regular aspirin use reduce CRC mortality or all-cause mortality? 2) Does regular aspirin use reduce the incidence of CRC? 3) Does regular aspirin use reduce the incidence of colorectal adenoma? 4) What are the harms of regular aspirin use for the prevention of colorectal cancer? DATA SOURCES: We performed a search of MEDLINE, PubMed, and the Cochrane Collaboration Registry of Controlled Trials for studies published from January 2004 through May 2014. We supplemented searches by examining bibliographies from previous systematic reviews, retrieved articles, and the previous USPSTF review. We searched federal agency trial registries for ongoing and/or unpublished trials. STUDY SELECTION: We conducted a dual review of 865 abstracts against prespecified inclusion criteria. We retrieved 149 potentially relevant articles, which two reviewers independently evaluated using well-defined inclusion/exclusion criteria and critically appraised for risk of bias. Discrepancies were resolved by discussion with a third reviewer. DATA EXTRACTION AND ANALYSIS: For all fair-quality and good-quality studies, a single investigator extracted study characteristics and outcomes into structured tables and a second investigator verified accuracy. Elements abstracted for each study included study design, population characteristics, sample sizes, exposures, outcomes, and measures of association. We created summary evidence tables to capture key study characteristics and sources of heterogeneity. In addition to the overall results for each included study, we also presented results by dose, duration, latency, and adenoma history where possible. We used forest plots stratified by potentially important exposure and study characteristics to visually identify patterns in the study results and help determine if pooling across studies was appropriate. We used the Mantel-Haenszel fixed effects model to estimate the combined effect and confidence interval; for very rare events (incidence less than one percent), we calculated the Peto odds ratio. RESULTS: Daily or alternate-day aspirin at ≥75 mg was associated with a small reduction in all-cause mortality risk in the first 10 years after randomization (summary relative risk, RR, 0.94, [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.89 to 0.99]) in 11 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) among persons in the general population (i.e., selected without considering their adenoma history). Over a 20+ year period, aspirin appeared to reduce the risk of CRC mortality by approximately 33%. However, long-term data on CRC mortality may have limited applicability, particularly from the perspective of a low-dose aspirin benefits in a primary CVD population addressing women as well as men. Two of four trials were in those with pre-existing cardiovascular disease and two involved dosages of 500 mg or greater daily, with no longer-term mortality results available for alternate-day regimens. Data on mortality among persons with a prior colorectal adenoma were also sparse. Six RCTs of aspirin for primary and secondary CVD prevention provided data on the effect of regular aspirin use on invasive CRC incidence in the general population. In this population, aspirin had no effect on CRC incidence in the first 10 years following randomization, but reduced CRC incidence by approximately 40 percent after a latency of 10 years (summary RR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.47 to 0.76]). Over a 20+ year period, aspirin appeared to reduce the risk of CRC incidence by approximately 20 to 24%. Data on aspirin use and CRC incidence in persons with a prior adenoma were limited and represented only short-term followup (fewer than 5 years) and could not, therefore, provide sufficient information on the effect of aspirin use on CRC incidence. In persons with a prior adenoma, data were conflicting, but there was some suggestion of a decreased risk of adenoma incidence over a 3- to 4- year period. Data on aspirin and adenoma risk in the general population were sparse. Data from RCTs suggested that aspirin increased the risk of serious gastrointestinal bleeding (summary OR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.44 to 2.62]), intracranial bleeding (summary OR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.21 to 1.93]), and hemorrhagic stroke (summary OR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.16 to 1.88]), but not fatal gastrointestinal bleeding (summary OR, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.43 to 2.36]). LIMITATIONS: Limited data were available to address differences in possible effects of aspirin in subgroups (e.g., age, sex, race) or to compare daily vs. alternate-day aspirin use. Long-term followup data were not identified for persons with a history of adenoma. CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin appears to reduce the risk of CRC incidence after an induction and latency period of approximately 10 years, with a similar effect on CRC mortality. The applicability of data for long-term effects of low-dose aspirin on CRC mortality, however, is limited, particularly in the context of a population selected for primary CVD prevention. Aspirin does not appear to have a strong effect on all-cause mortality within 10 years of initiating use, and data on long-term cumulative risk of all-cause mortality were sparse.

Broad synthesis / Overview of systematic reviews / Systematic review

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Background: Prophylactic aspirin has been considered to be beneficial in reducing the risks of heart disease and cancer. However, potential benefits must be balanced against the possible harm from side effects, such as bleeding and gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms. It is particularly important to know the risk of side effects when aspirin is used as primary prevention - that is when used by people as yet free of, but at risk of developing, cardiovascular disease (CVD) or cancer. In this report we aim to identify and re-analyse randomised controlled trials (RCTs), systematic reviews and meta-analyses to summarise the current scientific evidence with a focus on possible harms of prophylactic aspirin in primary prevention of CVD and cancer. Objectives: To identify RCTs, systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs of the prophylactic use of aspirin in primary prevention of CVD or cancer. To undertake a quality assessment of identified systematic reviews and meta-analyses using meta-analysis to investigate study-level effects on estimates of benefits and risks of adverse events; cumulative meta-analysis; exploratory multivariable meta-regression; and to quantify relative and absolute risks and benefits. Methods: We identified RCTs, meta-analyses and systematic reviews, and searched electronic bibliographic databases (from 2008 September 2012) including MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, NHS Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, and Science Citation Index. We limited searches to publications since 2008, based on timing of the most recent comprehensive systematic reviews. Results: In total, 2572 potentially relevant papers were identified and 27 met the inclusion criteria. Benefits of aspirin ranged from 6% reduction in relative risk (RR) for all-cause mortality [RR 0.94, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88 to 1.00] and 10% reduction in major cardiovascular events (MCEs) (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.96) to a reduction in total coronary heart disease (CHD) of 15% (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.06). Reported pooled odds ratios (ORs) for total cancer mortality ranged between 0.76 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.88) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.84 to 1.03). Inclusion of the Women's Health Study changed the estimated OR to 0.82 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.97). Aspirin reduced reported colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.02). However, including studies in which aspirin was given every other day raised the OR to 0.91 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.11). Reported cancer benefits appeared approximately 5 years from start of treatment. Calculation of absolute effects per 100,000 patient-years of follow-up showed reductions ranging from 33 to 46 deaths (all-cause mortality), 60-84 MCEs and 47-64 incidents of CHD and a possible avoidance of 34 deaths from CRC. Reported increased RRs of adverse events from aspirin use were 37% for GI bleeding (RR 1.37, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.62), between 54% (RR 1.54, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.82) and 62% (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.00) for major bleeds, and between 32% (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.74) and 38% (RR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.82) for haemorrhagic stroke. Pooled estimates of increased RR for bleeding remained stable across trials conducted over several decades. Estimates of absolute rates of harm from aspirin use, per 100,000 patient-years of follow-up, were 99-178 for non-trivial bleeds, 46-49 for major bleeds, 68-117 for GI bleeds and 8-10 for haemorrhagic stroke. Meta-analyses aimed at judging risk of bleed according to sex and in individuals with diabetes were insufficiently powered for firm conclusions to be drawn. Limitations: Searches were date limited to 2008 because of the intense interest that this subject has generated and the cataloguing of all primary research in so many previous systematic reviews. A further limitation was our potential over-reliance on study-level systematic reviews in which the person-years of follow-up were not accurately ascertainable. However, estimates of number of events averted or incurred through aspirin use calculated from data in study-level meta-analyses did not differ substantially from estimates based on individual patient data-level meta-analyses, for which person-years of follow-up were more accurate (although based on less-than-complete assemblies of currently available primary studies). Conclusions: We have found that there is a fine balance between benefits and risks from regular aspirin use in primary prevention of CVD. Effects on cancer prevention have a long lead time and are at present reliant on post hoc analyses. All absolute effects are relatively small compared with the burden of these diseases. Several potentially relevant ongoing trials will be completed between 2013 and 2019, which may clarify the extent of benefit of aspirin in reducing cancer incidence and mortality. Future research considerations include expanding the use of IPD meta-analysis of RCTs by pooling data from available studies and investigating the impact of different dose regimens on cardiovascular and cancer outcomes. Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme. © Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO 2013.

Broad synthesis / Guideline

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BACKGROUND: This guideline focuses on long-term administration of antithrombotic drugs designed for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease, including two new antiplatelet therapies. METHODS: The methods of this guideline follow those described in Methodology for the Development of Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis Guidelines: Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th ed: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines in this supplement. RESULTS: We present 23 recommendations for pertinent clinical questions. For primary prevention of cardiovascular disease, we suggest low-dose aspirin (75-100 mg/d) in patients aged > 50 years over no aspirin therapy (Grade 2B). For patients with established coronary artery disease, defined as patients 1-year post-acute coronary syndrome, with prior revascularization, coronary stenoses > 50% by coronary angiogram, and/or evidence for cardiac ischemia on diagnostic testing, we recommend long-term low-dose aspirin or clopidogrel (75 mg/d) (Grade 1A). For patients with acute coronary syndromes who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with stent placement, we recommend for the first year dual antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin in combination with ticagrelor 90 mg bid, clopidogrel 75 mg/d, or prasugrel 10 mg/d over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B). For patients undergoing elective PCI with stent placement, we recommend aspirin (75-325 mg/d) and clopidogrel for a minimum duration of 1 month (bare-metal stents) or 3 to 6 months (drug-eluting stents) (Grade 1A). We suggest continuing low-dose aspirin plus clopidogrel for 12 months for all stents (Grade 2C). Thereafter, we recommend single antiplatelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B). CONCLUSIONS: Recommendations continue to favor single antiplatelet therapy for patients with established coronary artery disease. For patients with acute coronary syndromes or undergoing elective PCI with stent placement, dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 1 year is warranted.

Broad synthesis

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Journal Stroke; a journal of cerebral circulation
Year 2004
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BACKGROUND: The last few years have seen a considerable increase in the amount of information available concerning blood pressure (BP) and stroke associations. This article provides an overview of published reviews of the effects on stroke seen in trials of BP-lowering drugs and compares these with the results available from cohort studies. SUMMARY OF REVIEW: We present a review of major overviews of prospective cohort studies and an updated meta-analysis of >40 randomized controlled trials of BP lowering, which included >188 000 participants and approximately 6800 stroke events. Cohort studies now indicate that in the Asia Pacific region as well as in North America and Western Europe, each 10 mm Hg lower systolic BP is associated with a decrease in risk of stroke of approximately one third in subjects aged 60 to 79 years. The association is continuous down to levels of at least 115/75 mm Hg and is consistent across sexes, regions, and stroke subtypes and for fatal and nonfatal events. The proportional association is age dependent but is still strong and positive in those aged 80 years. Data from randomized controlled trials, in which mean age at event was approximately 70 years, indicate that a 10 mm Hg reduction in systolic BP is associated with a reduction in risk of stroke of approximately one third. Per mm Hg systolic BP reduction, the relative benefits for stroke appear similar between agents, by baseline BP levels, and whether or not individuals have a past history of cardiovascular disease. There is, however, evidence of greater benefit with a larger BP reduction. CONCLUSIONS: The epidemiologically expected benefits of BP lowering for stroke risk reduction are broadly consistent across a range of different population subgroups. There are greater benefits from larger BP reductions, and initiating and maintaining BP reduction for stroke prevention is a more important issue than choice of initial agent.